TUMBLING VENUS -- WHAT VENUS'S ROTATION MAY BE TELLING US _________________________________________________________ When considering tumbling planets, we usually think of Uranus because it rolls in its orbit with its rotational axis nearly in its orbital plane. However, this was surely due to a primordial impact because Uranus's moons' orbital plane is well-aligned to the planet's equator. Uranus does not truly tumble. Venus is likely to be a truly tumbling planet, as per the following evidence: (1) Venus's sidereal rotational period (243 Earth days) is close to its sidereal orbital period (224.7 Earth days), although retrograde. (2) Venus's axial tilt is near zero -- almost normal to its orbital plane. (3) Venus's rotation appears to be slowing (as measured by our sent spacecraft), which would mean it is heading for tidal lock to the Sun. However, it is highly unlikely that this tidal lock would be first reached nowadays rather than gigayears ago. These conditions can be replicated using a simple model: Suppose Venus was a tidally locked planet, always showing the same face to the Sun. As with Mercury which is locked in a rotation-orbital resonance, condition (2) is met -- both Mercury and Venus have very little axial tilt. Now, flip this tidally-locked Venus neatly upside-down. The rotation is now retrograde but otherwise pretty much the same sidereal rotational period. Now let the Sun-Venus tidal forces slow the rotation over some arbitrary time. The result: Venus's rotation as it is today. Of course, one could question how Venus was flipped over thusly. The key is that we are speaking only of Venus's mantle, not necessarily the full planet. As with Earth, Venus is likely to have a core spinning independently from the mantle, that action lubricated by pressurized plasma at the core-mantle interface. But Venus has no measurable magnetic field and current thinking is that its non-understood internal structure is sealing off its internal processes from the upper mantle. Or more generally, Venus is internally quite different to Earth, and we don't yet have a good model for it. Thus, clues can be gleaned from its slow retrograde rotation, as follows: The Sun's magnetic field flips periodically (happened a few years ago), and so does the Earth's over longer time scales. My model is that the rotating core flips over due to an accumulation of magnetic counter-polarity forces at the core-mantle interface, that flip thus re-aligning the core with those forces and resulting in the core subsequently accelerating its rotation until equilibrium with the interface is reached, after which the counter-polarity forces build up again, causing the core to slow and eventually flip again. The Earth's core appears to be wobbling currently (as is seen by the drift of our magnetic poles) and may be heading for a flip within some centuries. Returning to Venus, the key may be that Venus's core could be very large and accounting for upwards of 90% of the planet's mass. By this model, when the time comes for Venus's core to flip, it will instead be its mantle which flips. Thus we would see Venus flipping upside-down even though its massive core does not flip. Thus this model is that of a tidally locked planet which periodically flips, resulting in a retrograde rotation of roughly the same sidereal period, initially accelerating its retrograde rotation as the built-up magnetic polarity force within the core-mantle boundary drives the mantle, reaching its maximum siderial rotation of about twice the rate of the sidereal year (although retrograde), and then slowing tidally until reaching tidal lockdown to the Sun. With the mantle held in tidal lockdown, the core continues its spin which builds up the magnetic counter-polarity forces at the core-mantle interface, until the mantle finally flips again, starting the cycle anew. This would explain the Venus that we see today. Venus's rotational slowdown has been measured by two spacecraft visitors: Magellan (NASA) orbited Venus in the 1990's and measured a Venusian sidereal day of 243.0185 Earth-days. The Venus Express satellite (ESA) orbited 2007-2014 and found that in the 16 years since Magellan, the Venusian rotation was 20km in arrears of the Magellan rate, well beyond the error margin. Article: https://www.esa.int/Science_Exploration/Space_Science/Venus_Express/Could_Venus_be_shifting_gear The cause of the measured rotational slippage between the two Venus orbiters is not understood, but if we model that Venus's rotation is slowing down evenly by that amount, then the calculation is that Venus will reach tidal lockdown in 760,000 Earth-years. This is important because it makes no sense that Venus would first achieve tidal lockdown in the human timeline -- it would have happened a few billion years ago instead. Therefore if, say, a third spacecraft visit (or Earth radar) confirms that Venus is indeed slowing its rotation rate, then it is immediate that this is indeed a continuous cycle and that Venus has been tumbling throughout the epochs. It must be mentioned that Earth-based radar measurements of Venusian rotation accord to the Venus Express value, and that the earlier Magellan is an outlier in this. But nobody can find anything wrong with the Magellan measurements -- they are taken as correct. So one idea is that Venus really was rotating faster when Magellan visited, but only temporarily -- an idea farcical on its face. Others say the impressive Venusian winds affect the rotation -- the winds circle Venus in just 4 Earth-days. But no energy equation can support that idea either. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ This topic originally presented in these newsgroup postings by Eric Flesch: Subject: Tumbling Venus Date: 2011-Sept-02 newsgroup: sci.astro.research Subject: Tumbling Venus -- equation needed Date: 2016-March-09 newsgroup: sci.astro.research